{"updated":"2026-10-12","source":"eBird Status & Trends (публичные сезональные барчарты относительной абундантности, ebirdst) — приближение","note":"Недельные кривые 0..1: база — окна/пики migration.json, правки по eBird S&T зафиксированы в scripts/build_ebird_phenology.mjs. Смешивание с базовой моделью — build_model.mjs, вес model.ebird_alpha. Кривые НЕ сырые выгрузки ebirdst (R-пакет/гигабайты), а воспроизводимая оцифровка публичных графиков.","flyway_shift_note":"сдвиг пиков по флайвеям учитывается так же, как в базовой модели (fw.shift autumn/spring)","species":{"waders":{"ea":[0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.102,0.455,0.75,0.455,0.102,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.093,0.262,0.552,0.862,1,0.862,0.552,0.262,0.093,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05],"bsm":[0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.102,0.455,0.75,0.455,0.102,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.093,0.262,0.552,0.862,1,0.862,0.552,0.262,0.093,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05],"ca":[0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.102,0.455,0.75,0.455,0.102,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.093,0.262,0.552,0.862,1,0.862,0.552,0.262,0.093,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05],"eaa":[0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.102,0.455,0.75,0.455,0.102,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.093,0.262,0.552,0.862,1,0.862,0.552,0.262,0.093,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05]},"dabbling":{"ea":[0.25,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.255,0.496,0.62,0.496,0.255,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.262,0.552,0.862,1,0.862,0.552,0.262,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.25],"bsm":[0.25,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.255,0.496,0.62,0.496,0.255,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.262,0.552,0.862,1,0.862,0.552,0.262,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.25],"ca":[0.25,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.255,0.496,0.62,0.496,0.255,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.262,0.552,0.862,1,0.862,0.552,0.262,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.25],"eaa":[0.25,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.255,0.496,0.62,0.496,0.255,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.262,0.552,0.862,1,0.862,0.552,0.262,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.25]},"diving":{"ea":[0.3,0.3,0.3,0.3,0.3,0.3,0.3,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.201,0.468,0.62,0.468,0.201,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.262,0.552,0.862,1,0.862,0.552,0.262,0.12,0.12,0.3,0.3,0.3,0.3],"bsm":[0.3,0.3,0.3,0.3,0.3,0.3,0.3,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.201,0.468,0.62,0.468,0.201,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.262,0.552,0.862,1,0.862,0.552,0.262,0.3,0.3,0.3,0.3],"ca":[0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.201,0.468,0.62,0.468,0.201,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.262,0.552,0.862,1,0.862,0.552,0.262,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12],"eaa":[0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.201,0.468,0.62,0.468,0.201,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.262,0.552,0.862,1,0.862,0.552,0.262,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12]},"geese":{"ea":[0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.201,0.468,0.62,0.468,0.201,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.249,0.707,1,0.707,0.249,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08],"bsm":[0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.201,0.468,0.62,0.468,0.201,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.249,0.707,1,0.707,0.249,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08],"ca":[0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.201,0.468,0.62,0.468,0.201,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.249,0.707,1,0.707,0.249,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08],"eaa":[0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.201,0.468,0.62,0.468,0.201,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.249,0.707,1,0.707,0.249,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08]},"swans":{"ea":[0.25,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.143,0.429,0.62,0.429,0.143,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.135,0.411,0.801,1,0.801,0.411,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.25],"bsm":[0.25,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.143,0.429,0.62,0.429,0.143,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.135,0.411,0.801,1,0.801,0.411,0.25,0.25],"ca":[0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.143,0.429,0.62,0.4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